
Getty Image / Scott Taetsch
Welcome to Week 5. We are officially a quarter into the season, and we’re starting to see which teams are good and which teams are bad.
Unfortunately, I have bad news: we can’t bet against the Dolphins and their enormous spread because they are on a bye this week. Don’t worry, you’ll see there’s a team that’s telling us to hold their beer while they try to become as mediocre.
Here are my bets for Week 5.
Spreads To Consider:
New England Patriots (-15.5) at Washington Redskins
The Redskins only put up three points against a defense that is allowing 24 per game last week in New York and now they’re playing against a defense that has allowed the lowest with six.
Entering Thursday night, we don’t even know who is the starting quarterback for Washington.
I’ve been successful with betting the Pats and high spreads this season, and I like it again this week.
Baltimore Ravens (-3.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers
Although the Ravens are going into the week on a two-game losing streak, Vegas has them as the road favorite.
The Steelers saved their season for at least a week with their dominant victory over the winless Bengals.
The question is, are we going to see the Ravens defense that only allowed 27 total points with three takeaways in Weeks 1 and 2, or the one that allowed 77 points in Weeks 3 & 4?
I believe in the former. I’m not all in on this Pittsburgh offense just yet.
Totals To Consider
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboy Total: 47 (Over)
Aaron Rodgers remembered that he was one of the best quarterbacks last week and threw for 442 yards and two touchdowns. Although Dak Prescott and the Cowboys put up an absolute dud last week, they’re still seventh in points scored this year.
The Packers’ passing defense has been great, but the rushing defense not so much. That flaw was exposed last week against Philadelphia; now they have to face Ezekiel Elliot.
I sense a lot of back and forth scoring in this matchup.
Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans Total: 38.5 (Under)
The quarterback quality in this game is sub-par with Marcus Mariota, and most likely Matt Barkley getting the start. Both teams have quality defenses as the Titans and Bills rank fourth and fifth respectively in points allowed per-game with about 15 each. They also did not allow their opposing quarterbacks from last week throw for a touchdown.
I see low-scoring all the way.
Underdog Of The Week
Indianapolis Colts (+11) at Kansas City Chiefs
You may not believe it, but Jacoby Brissett is the ninth-best fantasy quarterback, and the only one to throw multiple touchdowns in every game this season. Along with an elite receiver in T.Y. Hilton, Marlon Mack is a top-five running back in terms of rushing.
The Chiefs are a top-scoring offense with 33 points-per-game, but they are allowing 23 points-per-game.
I understand it’s tough to play at Arrowhead, but the Colts have the weapons to keep up, especially if Hilton suits up.
Bonus Dog
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) vs. New Orleans Saints
The Bucs are riding a high after putting up 55-points against the Rams last week. I’m honestly surprised they are home dogs against a team playing a backup quarterback and a team that only scored 12-points last week.
With Jameis Winston playing like we expected him to, Ronald Jones starting to play well, along with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin being viable receiving options, the Bucs should cover this spread.
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John “Supi” Supowitz is a graduate from Quinnipiac University with a Masters in Sports Journalism. He is also currently a part of the Game Day Production Staff for a minor league baseball team. If you want to pique his interest, bring up the Yankees, pro-wrestling, or King of The Hill. You can follow him on Twitter @Imthatsupi85 and Instagram @Imthatsupi.